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BATTLE IN BURMA




The Wall Street Journal Interactive Edition -- March 25, 1997
                                       Edit Page Features
                                       Battle in Burma

                                       By ALISTAIR HORNE

                                       RANGOON, Burma--At last month's foreign
                                       ministers' meeting in Singapore, the
Association of
                                       South-East Asian Nations backed Burma's
                                       application for membership, setting
itself on a
                                       collision course with the U.S. and
the European
                                       Union, which advocate sanctions aimed
at Burma's
                                       military regime.

                                       For Western liberal opinion, the
issue remains
                                       Burma's deplorable record on
democracy and
                                       human rights. Foremost among the charges
                                       against the ruling State Law and
Order Restoration
                                       Council, known as Slorc, is its
treatment of Aung
                                       Sang Suu Kyi, 1991 winner of the
Nobel Peace
                                       Prize. As my wife and I discovered on
a recent
                                       private visit to her, Ms. Suu Kyi remains
                                       sequestered, a highly vulnerable bird
in a cage
                                       that is far from golden.

                                       The Lady, as Ms. Suu Kyi is
reverently known
                                       throughout Burma, is the daughter of
Aung San,
                                       the national hero who opposed the
British, then
                                       the Japanese in World War II, and
whom Burmese
                                       regarded as the only man who could
salvage their
                                       war-ravaged country. But Aung San and
his entire
                                       cabinet were assassinated by
political rivals in
                                       1947, and the country was then ruined
by 26
                                       years of its own brand of inward-looking
                                       socialism.

                                       Landslide Victory

                                       In 1988, economic collapse
precipitated mass
                                       demonstrations that were crushed with
appalling
                                       brutality by the military, which then
assumed
                                       power under the unfortunate acronym
(it could
                                       have been invented by the late Ian
Fleming). At
                                       this point the Oxford-educated Ms.
Suu Kyi, who
                                       was in Burma to tend her ailing
mother, found
                                       herself swept up in politics. She
formed the
                                       National League for Democracy, which
in 1990
                                       won a landslide victory with 81% of
the vote in an
                                       election forced upon Slorc by
internal and
                                       international pressure. Slorc,
however, refused to
                                       recognize the results, and Ms. Suu
Kyi, arrested
                                       before the elections, endured house
arrest for six
                                       years. In July 1995 she was released,
not having
                                       seen her husband, Oxford don Michael
Airs, or her
                                       two young sons during most of this time.

                                       Ms. Suu Kyi's "compound," as she
calls it, at No.
                                       54 University Avenue in Rangoon, is
still sealed
                                       off by the army. Visitors can only
enter by special
                                       appointment. Carrying a parcel of
books, photos
                                       and other articles from her husband,
we were
                                       quite disagreeably harassed by armed
soldiers
                                       and plainclothes "guards" at each of two
                                       roadblocks, liberally photographed
and forced to
                                       sign a registration book. Our taxi
driver fled the
                                       scene, in evident discomfort. Our
luggage,
                                       however, was not searched.

                                       Surrounded by the bravely challenging
red flags
                                       of her party, Ms. Suu Kyi's compound
consists of
                                       her late mother's once elegant but
now badly
                                       decayed stucco house, overlooking a
lake on
                                       whose banks some of Slorc's worst
atrocities
                                       occurred in 1988, and several modest
huts. One
                                       of them houses a Slorc security post;
it became
                                       evident later that our conversation
had been
                                       bugged. Hammers were at work running up a
                                       small conference center for the big
Union Day
                                       holiday the following week (in the
event, half of
                                       the estimated 5,000 NLD supporters
who arrived
                                       were turned away by the police).

                                                                            
                                      Despite the rigors
                                                                            
                                      of recent years,
                                                                            
                                      Ms. Suu Kyi looks
                                                                            
                                      younger than her
                                                                            
                                      53 years, a
                                                                            
                                      slender woman of
                                                                            
                                      delicate beauty.
                                                                            
                                      She has an
                                                                            
                                      engaging sense of
                                                                            
                                      humor, and laughs
                                                                            
                                      gaily when I say I
                                                                            
                                      intend to
                                                                            
                                      photograph the
                                                                            
                                      guards, en
                                                                            
                                      revanche, when
                                       we leave. But underneath one senses a
steely
                                       seriousness, and deep commitment.

                                       Are things getting better? I ask.
"No," she replies,
                                       "it was worse over the past year,
with more
                                       arrests of our people in the middle
of the night."
                                       Some of them received seven-year
sentences.
                                       "You won't see people arrested at
night, but now
                                       you have seen a little of what it's
like, outside."
                                       She herself receives letters only
four times a year,
                                       and so relies greatly on the BBC
World Service
                                       radio for information from the
outside world.

                                       "Every day they write something nasty
about me
                                       in the papers--particularly about my
Western
                                       contacts," she says. Amnesty
International
                                       confirms the personal attacks on Ms.
Suu Kyi are
                                       becoming "increasingly strident."
When she goes
                                       out she is accompanied by escorts
from the Slorc
                                       Military Intelligence--"They say it's
for my safety,"
                                       she tells us. In November her
motorcade was
                                       attacked by thugs with iron bars.

                                       Pressure from outside has helped, she
says:
                                       "Slorc is not impervious to
international opinion."
                                       She remains committed to the principle of
                                       sanctions, even though some claim
they hurt her
                                       people. Does she think that, as with
Augusto
                                       Pinochet in Chile, the generals will
go one day?
                                       "They don't have Pinochet's
self-confidence; they
                                       are very suspicious of people trained
abroad," she
                                       says, referring to the "Chicago Boys"
who saved
                                       the Chilean economy. Perhaps the
Slorc generals
                                       are fearful of retribution? "We have
said many
                                       times that everything is negotiable,"
she replies.

                                       Ms. Suu Kyi's house is austere, with
absolutely no
                                       concessions to traditional
femininity. Leaving, we
                                       asked: What about her everyday life?
"It's taken up
                                       with politics--three meetings this
morning, now
                                       your visit this afternoon, then
another meeting this
                                       evening," she replies. "I have books,
and videos
                                       but I don't have time to watch them."

                                       Looking at the fragile grille on the
windows, and
                                       the few frail men from her NLD at the
entrance to
                                       the compound, one appreciates just
how at risk
                                       she is. Some of her supporters fear
she may be
                                       assassinated, like her father. What
she says she
                                       most fears is to be forced into
exile, like
                                       Alexander Solzhenitsyn, though some
admirers
                                       think this would be best for her safety.

                                       Indeed, over the past eight years of
military rule,
                                       Amnesty International has assembled a
                                       devastating dossier of Slorc's human
rights
                                       abuses. These include forced labor
and chain
                                       gangs, atrocities against the Karens
and other
                                       minority rebels, brutal relocations
of entire
                                       communities, and arbitrary
imprisonment of Ms.
                                       Sun Kyi's deputies, some of whom have
died in
                                       jail. Last month, ironically on
Burma's Union Day,
                                       the army launched a new offensive
against the
                                       Karen rebels in the east, driving
many thousands
                                       of civilian refugees into Thailand
and producing
                                       fresh reports of tortures and killings.

                                       In Mandalay the tourist is confronted
by Slorc
                                       slogans as provocative as anything
from the
                                       Soviet Union at the height of the
Cold War:
                                       "Oppose those relying on external
elements,
                                       acting as stooges, holding negative
views," for
                                       instance, and "Crush all internal and
external
                                       destructive elements as the common
enemy."
                                       Yet, except for a few obvious signs of
                                       malnutrition, except for a fleeting
glimpse of a
                                       police truck as densely packed with
prisoners as
                                       those in "Schindler's List," and
except for armed
                                       soldiers supervising building of a
road--I saw none
                                       of the alleged abuses. Then again, I
was a tourist.
                                       Even trained experts of the
International Red Cross
                                       failed to pick up on torture by the
Greek Colonels.

                                       Although they are not allowed to
travel more than
                                       25 miles outside of Rangoon without
official
                                       permission, some senior Western
observers say
                                       Slorc's record is not all bad. In
recent years, they
                                       say, a great deal of building and foreign
                                       investment has helped create a new
middle class,
                                       with parallels to Franco's Spain. Foreign
                                       businessmen, like Jim Sherwood, an
American
                                       who has pioneered the efficient Road
to Mandalay
                                       cruise ship on the Irrawaddy river,
take a much
                                       more robust line. Sanctions, Mr.
Sherwood says,
                                       would be totally counterproductive
and likely to
                                       drive Slorc back into the introverted
posture from
                                       which Burma has just begun to emerge,
make its
                                       rule harsher and reverse the growing
prosperity of
                                       ordinary Burmese. Expanded trade,
tourism and
                                       other contact with the outside world,
he says,
                                       make for the best way of leading
Slorc out of its
                                       present ways.

                                       One university graduate and supporter
of Ms. Suu
                                       Kyi voiced to me another reason for
opposing
                                       sanctions: If the West pulls out, she
said, the
                                       Chinese, already pressing on the
door, will take
                                       over. Meanwhile, in Singapore last
month, the
                                       Asean foreign ministers prepared to
accept Burma
                                       as one of their own. And in their
polite Southeast
                                       Asian way, they warned the West to
mind its own
                                       business on human rights in Burma.
"In Asia,"
                                       declared Singapore Foreign Minister
S. Jayukumar,
                                       "we marry first and expect the bride
to adapt her
                                       behavior after the marriage."

                                       Looming Confrontations

                                       Yet if Burma is admitted to Asean
this summer, as
                                       is likely, confrontation looms. The
Asean foreign
                                       ministers' next meeting with their EU
counterparts
                                       is scheduled to take place next
spring, in
                                       London--and current British policy
does not allow
                                       visas for Slorc representatives. U.S.
Secretary of
                                       State Madeleine Albright has urged
quickening the
                                       pace toward sanctions for Burma. To
many in
                                       America, Ms. Suu Kyi is the new Nelson
                                       Mandela--and an even more charismatic
figure. As
                                       a former U.S. ambassador close to the
White
                                       House remarked to me, "We regard San
Suu Kyi
                                       as the legally elected head of the
Burmese
                                       government; therefore, if she calls
for sanctions
                                       we must do what she wants."

                                       Recent reports from Rangoon,
meanwhile, allege
                                       much heavier military activity than
normal. Will
                                       Burma become a new South Africa--or
Southeast
                                       Asia's next killing fields?


                                       Mr. Horne, a fellow of St. Antony's
College,
                                       Oxford, is author most recently of
"How Far From
                                       Austerlitz? Napoleon 1805-1815," due
out from St.
                                       Martin's in May.