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THE SPDC's ALL-SEASON OFFENSIVE AGA
- Subject: THE SPDC's ALL-SEASON OFFENSIVE AGA
- From: darnott@xxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Fri, 15 Jan 1999 08:22:00
THE SPDC's ALL-SEASON OFFENSIVE AGAINST THE NLD
In the SPDC's current offensive against the NLD, aimed ultimately at
driving the Party underground, the "closure" of the NLD branches (the NLD
says they are not legally closed) is one of the principal tactics being
used, There is also the long-standing harassment of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi
and her close colleagues, some of whom are now serving long prison terms,
the holding of NLD hostages -- both MPs-elect and party officers -- in
prisons and "guesthouses", the forced and falsified "resignations" of NLD
officers and ordinary members, and the statements various ethnic groups
have been required to make criticising the NLD (to undermine non-Burman
support for the NLD's project of convening the Parliament).
I have squished together the previous figures ( alreadyposted to several
lists), done a bit of arithmetic, and offer the results here.
There are a number of considerations not covered by the figures, which may
also enter into SPDC strategy. These include population density, strategic
and economic factors, the possibility of wiping out all the NLD branches in
a given area. (e.g. in Arakan, which returned only 8 NLD MPs in 1990, 10
branches have been "closed; does anyone know if there are any NLD branches
left in that State? I imagine that once a branch is "closed", the SPDC will
not be excessively cooperative in helping it to open again). There is also
the major element of opportunity.
Some of the figures suggest further questions, e.g. why are there so many
guesthoused officers from Mon State? Why the large number of "resignations"
in Irrawaddy and Pegu? Why the relatively light treatment of Mandalay
compared with Rangoon, etc.
David Arnott (Burma Peace Foundation, Geneva)
*******************
GEOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWN OF THE VARIOUS TACTICS BEING USED TO DAMAGE THE NLD
RANGOON DIVISION
Guesthoused NLD MPs 29 (number elected in 1990 59)
Guesthoused NLD officials 345
NLD branches closed 2
Members and officials "resigned" 282
SAGAING DIVISION
Guesthoused NLD MPs 28 (number elected in 1990 53)
Guesthoused NLD officials 10
NLD branches closed 3
Members and officials "resigned" 563
PEGU DIVISION
Guesthoused NLD MPs 25 (number elected in 1990 48)
Guesthoused NLD officials 47
NLD branches closed 4
Members and officials "resigned" 1715
MAGWE DIVISION
Guesthoused NLD MPs 23 (number elected in 1990 39)
Guesthoused NLD officials 13
NLD branches closed 0
Members and officials "resigned" 218
IRRAWADDY DIVISION
Guesthoused NLD MPs 23 (number elected in 1990 49 )
Guesthoused NLD officials 43
NLD branches closed 2
Members and officials "resigned" 3349
MANDALAY DIVISION
Guesthoused NLD MPs 22 (number elected in 1990 55)
Guesthoused NLD officials 56
NLD branches closed 1
Members and officials "resigned" 325
TENASSERIM DIVISION
Guesthoused NLD MPs 6 (number elected in 1990 13)
Guesthoused NLD officials 2
NLD branches closed 5
Members and officials "resigned" 48
SHAN STATE
Guesthoused NLD MPs 18 (number elected in 1990 22)
Guesthoused NLD officials 7
NLD branches closed 8
Members and officials "resigned" 267
MON STATE
Guesthoused NLD MPs 11 (number elected in 1990 17)
Guesthoused NLD officials 122
NLD branches closed 4
Members and officials "resigned" 101
ARAKAN STATE
Guesthoused NLD MPs 3 (number elected in 1990 8)
Guesthoused NLD officials 10
NLD branches closed 10
Members and officials "resigned" 111
KAREN STATE
Guesthoused NLD MPs 4 (number elected in 1990 10)
Guesthoused NLD officials 3
NLD branches closed 1
Members and officials "resigned" 4
KACHIN STATE
Guesthoused NLD MPs 1 (number elected in 1990 14)
Guesthoused NLD officials 8
NLD branches closed 2
Members and officials "resigned" 94
CHIN STATE
Guesthoused NLD MPs 0 (number elected in 1990 3)
Guesthoused NLD officials 0
NLD branches closed 2
Members and officials "resigned" 31
KARENNI STATE
Guesthoused NLD MPs 0 (number elected in 1990 4)
Guesthoused NLD officials 0
NLD branches closed 0
Members and officials "resigned" 0
**************************
ANTI-NLD STATEMENTS BY VARIOUS NON-BURMAN ETHNIC GROUPS
These statements were orchestrated in response to the support the NLD's
Committee of 10 (CRPP) was receiving from a number of ethnic organisations
and alliances.
If anyone has an afternoon or so to spare, cuddle up with the "Unity is No.
1" website
http://www.twics.com/~yangon/unity.htm
where you will find a number of statements by ceasefire groups:
Subject: Attitude of the ........ in connection with the NLD (National
League for Democracy)'s call for convening of the Hluttaw
The ones I looked at seemed to be from the same template. There may be some
variations, but I didn't have the patience to sit through the painfully
slow-loading pictures of jolly ethnic dancers, heroic Tatmadawmen and the
Senior General's words of wisdom in "Leaders" magazine, to get to all the
texts.
************************