Sub-title:
The need for a combined Ethnic approach in the 2020 election
Description:
"Many expected the 2016 election which saw Aung San Suu Kyi’s National League for
Democracy gain power to be a major step forward, not only towards democracy but also
ethnic equality.
Such hopes now seem somewhat misguided in retrospect, with many ethnic political
parties feeling abandoned by the NLD and especially Aung San Suu Kyi, therefore the
2020 election will allow ethnic representatives to redress the balance at the ballot box.
The NLD had been able to win the majority of seats in ethnic states based largely on the
iconography of its leader and the perception that she would rule justly. While the ethnic
political parties had been able to secure seats in Rakhine and Shan states, their power
was largely curtailed by the NLD appointing non-ethnic State Ministers, or those with
NLD loyalties. The winning ethnic political party representatives were forced to accept
NLD appointments and the NLD largely ignored ethnic political parties in the governing
process.
During by-elections in 2018, the NLD retained its overall parliamentary majority but lost
several seats previously held in minority-dominant areas.
According to NLD spokesman Myo Nyunt,
We lost five out of six seats in ethnic areas. Ethnic people are not satisfied with
our performance on the peace process . . . This result is a lesson for us. We will
come up with a strategy for each constituency for the coming election.1
While the NLD appears to be insistent on tying its electoral future, and its ability to
retain ethnic votes, to the peace process, it is unlikely to see progress made on the issue
before the election date. The NLD turning its back on ethnic political parties (EPPs) has
not gone down well with ethnic leaders and as the election draws nearer, they need to
rally their constituents around ethnic aspirations.
Also, what needs to be taken into account, is the fact that it is not necessarily in the
military’s best interests to have the NLD in power for another four years as the NLD
continues to try to chip away at the military-drafted constitution. Already, pro-military
demonstrations have taken place in Yangon seeking to prevent constitutional
amendments that would weaken the military’s 25% grip on power in the legislature.2 It
would, therefore, be better for the military, and the Union Solidarity Development Party
(USDP) the most likely challenger to the NLD, to delay the peace process until after
November regardless of current constraints due to the COVID-19 pandemic. While some ethnic political parties have seemingly learnt from the mistakes in the last
election and have organised along state lines, joining together to create united fronts,
large scale communication strategies need to be implemented putting forward the
benefits of ensuring a much larger voice for ethnic representation in the governance of
the country..."
Source/publisher:
Euro Burma Office
Date of Publication:
2020-04-00
Date of entry:
2021-04-12
Grouping:
- Individual Documents
Category:
Countries:
Myanmar
Language:
English
Local URL:
Format:
pdf
Size:
112.12 KB
Resource Type:
text
Text quality:
- Good
Remote URL:
pdf (115.35 KB (Original version))