Description:
"There had been much hope regarding an end to ethnic conflict in Myanmar with the then Thein Sein’s
government’s attempts to bring long-term armed ethnic organisations around the table. The international
community including the United States and Europe were quick to remove sanctions and offer support to the
government, even more so when the National League for Democracy was elected. However, with the length of
time so far taken and differences over what individual actors want, the possibility of an actual ceasefire in conflict
affected areas and an eventual political solution seem far away.
While eight armed ethnic organisations signed a Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement on 15 October 2015, many
others remain reluctant to do so as competing interests and objectives vie with the overall demand for equality
in a federal union. Many observers see the conflict, and the peace process, through a singular black and white
prism. This view sees the Military/Government pitted against armed ethnic organisations the latter all wanting
the same outcome. However, this is not the case, the number of actors involved and their motivations is what
currently drives the conflict, and the solution to it, in the country.
Before 2010, armed ethnic resistance was seen as a unitary issue. Armed ethnic groups were united in the
common aim of overthrowing a military regime that was seen to have invaded ethnic states and trampled on
the rights of ethnic peoples in favour of the predominant Burman, or Bamar, majority. While some groups had
come to an accommodation with the military government, it was primarily the New Mon State Party (NMSP)
and the Kachin Independence Organisation (KIO) that had decided to break with perceived ethnic unity and try
and find an alternative to conflict.
Putting trust in the then military Government and what was called the National Convention these two groups
believed that their voices would be heard only to find this would not be the case. As a consequence, and as the
Myanmar military gradually eroded ethnic territory given to those groups, fighting once more broke out in
Kachin State in 2011. It is therefore understandable that some, the Kachin especially, are wary of further
negotiation with the government. It was believed that with the arrival of the NLD-led Government that more
progress would be made towards securing peace and achieving genuine federalism. Two Union peace
conferences have been held, and while some view the recent concessions about 37 agreed on points as positive,
many ethnic leaders believe that the current peace process is being badly mis-managed and that the process
under Thein Sein yielded better results..."
Source/publisher:
Euro Burma Office
Date of Publication:
2017-10-15
Date of entry:
2021-04-11
Grouping:
- Individual Documents
Category:
Countries:
Myanmar
Language:
English
Local URL:
Format:
pdf
Size:
407.49 KB
Resource Type:
text
Text quality:
- Good
Remote URL:
pdf (428.54 (Original version))